NFL Week 10 Previews.

NFL Week 10 Previews

Interesting Slate Of Games For Week 10 Many Teams Like the Commanders And Falcons Face Potentially Season-Ending Matchups With The Lions and Lions, Those Latter Team NFL powerhouses looking To Rebound From From Upsets In Week Nine. The Packers Also Come In Off Of an Upset has the Complexion Of Their Season after Their Tight End, Tucker Kraft, Went Down With an Ending Knee Injury.

Athletics And Injuries Go Hand in Hand; It’s The Nature Of The Beast For The Body To Break At Points When Pressed To An Exaggerated Extents For The Thrill Of Competition. NFL/Football is One Of The Most Physical Sports, Where Bodies Collide With One Another On Purpose. The Injury Widens The Scales Of Those Injuries Beyond The Range Of Other Professional Sports, Save Maybe Rugby. Professional Football Carries A “…8.1 injuries per 1000 hours of exposure”, The Highest In Pro Sports, and That Rate Might Get Bumped Up After This Season. Through nine weeks, Injuries Have Defined The 2025 Season, So Much so That The Super Bowl winner Might Get An asterisk because of How Many high-level players Have Missed Time Or The Entire Season. Insert: *This Team Won The Championship, Probably Not because They're The Best, They Just Had The Most Healthy Bodies. Comparing Season To Season, Very Few Major Players Lost Tremendous Time Due To Injury. This Season, Injuries Have Altered The Trajectory Of Many Notable Teams In The Super Bowl Mix. Week 10 Of The NFL season Signals Separation Time. Pseudo-Competitive Teams Like The Cowboys Can’t Hide Behind Light Of Soft Schedules Or The Glare Of Early Season Execution; instead, Teams with Better Cohesion Will Start To Exert Their Dominance.

Bears Vs Giants

The Bear Miraculously Crawled Out Of The NFC North Basement And Emerged Second Place In The Division After Surviving A Scare Late By The Bengals. What Should We Make Of The Bears Barely Scratching Their Name Off Of The List Of Teams To Suffer Improbable Comebacks Against? The Bears' Passing Defense Comes In Close To The Bottom In Nearly Any Relevant Pass Metric, 4th In Yards Per Completion, 8th In Yards Per game Allowed, 4th In Completion Percentage, 29th In Drop Back Success Rate, and 22nd In EPA Per Drop back. Chicago’s Defense Gave 471 Gross Passing Yards To Joe Flacco And Two Touchdowns In The Final two Minutes Of The Game, Which Put The Bengals in a position to Steal The Game Away From The Bears. The Quarterback They Face Jaxson Dart Of The Giants, Who Couldn’t Lead The G Men To A Win In Week Nine Against The Niners, But He Came Away With His Best Game Of The Season in Terms Of Success Rate(51.16%) And Completion Percentage (72.7%) On His Way To 191 Passing Yards and Two Touchdowns. Dart Can Also Threaten Defenses as a runner, with 254 rushing yards and 5 rushing TDs On The Season. He’s Put Together A Strong Rookie Campaign since Taking Over The Quarterbacking Duties. Dart Averages +0.15 EPA Per Drop Back For The Season. The Bears only managed 12 pressures on 50 drop-backs from Joe Flacco, and they can’t afford not to bring pressure against a dangerous quarterback like Dart. The Giants don’t have anything at receiver comparable to the Bengals' top two targets. However, their top two targets, Wan'Dale Robinson and tight end Theo Johnson, enter Week 10 looking respectable performance-wise. Wan'dale Robinson leads the Giants' offense in Target, Reception, and Yards, and Averages 11.5 Yards Per Reception, and +0.22 EPA Per Target. Johnson Has Five Touchdown On The Season. Caleb Williams responded To His Maligned Game Against The Ravens in Week 8 By Throwing Three Touchdowns, His First Game throwing A Touchdown since Week Six, and His First Multi-Passing Game Since Week Three. Caleb produced an EPA of 22.35 and a Success Rate of 53.5% both Season Highs Against The Bengals' bottom-ranked defense. The Giants' Defense ranks 28th according to ESPN FPI Efficiencies, 14th In Pass Rush Win rate, 21st In Pressure rate, 96.4 Passer Rating Allowed, and 65.5% Completion Percentage Allowed. The Bear Rushing Attack Comes In Rolling On A 57.6% Rushing Success Rate. Credit To You If Start Kyle Managai, Or Took His Over, Or Even Knew Who He Played For The Bears, Or Knew He Existed. Monagai 25 rushes for 162 Rushing YARDS, 6.5 Yards Per Carry. The Bears' Rushing attack Compiled Rushing yards (283 Yards per carry, 7.6), EPA per rush (0.43), and Success rate (64.9% and Two Touchdowns. The Bears Have Produced A Positive EPA Per Rush over The Pass. Four Weeks After porous Efficiency Weeks 2-4 33-35% Success Rate To 43-65% These Pass Four Weeks. The Giants, 5.5 Yards +0.154 EPA Per Rush surrendered On Defense are the worst numbers In Football. Unless the Giants' Pass Rush(or even if it takes Over The Game With One Of Those Dominant Showings, This Defense Has Too Many Holes and Gave Up 173 Combined Yards To San Francisco running Back Christian McCaffrey in a Down Year For the all-world superstar.

Patriots Vs. Buccaneers

The Story Of The Patriots' shocking Rise From A Team Which Came One Loss Away From Earning The Number One Pick To A 7-2 Record And In The Super Bowl Conversation has Three Main narratives. One Drake Maye’s Dark Horse Run To An MVP Candidacy, Mike Vrabel’s Return To Professional Coaching with The Team He Played For, and The Patriots' Easy Schedule. The Patriots Ride The Easiest Strength Of Schedule To This Point Into Week Ten, and The Easiest To .362. One Of The Two Final Teams With a Winning Record, The Patriots Face The Tampa Bay Bucs, and Baker Mayfield Will Give The Patriots A Test. The Bucs Offense Gets Highlighted For All The High Octane Fast and Furious Performance, But Tampa’s Defense Quietly ranks Third In EPA Allowed Per Play, 11th In total Yardage, and Fifth In Total EPA Allowed. The Bucs stop The Run As Well As Any Team, Top Three In Both success rate and EPA Allowed To Runners, as this Stout unit has Helped The Team Rise To The Top Of The NFC South.

Tampa Bay’s Defense Featured Two Primary weaknesses: A 49.1 Drop-back Success Rate and A Below Average Pressure Rate of 19.6%, Versus 25 Sacks and a 4th In Pass Rush win Rate. The Buccaneers have allowed significant passing yards to Mac Jones, Michael Penix, and Sam Darnold. While not elite quarterbacks Outside Of Darnold, They Each recorded 341, 289, and 291 passing yards, respectively, against the Buccaneers. The Quarterback They Still Hot Despite A Few Lapses In Concentration, Including One Interception, A Loss Fumble, And A fumble Recovery Against The Falcons. Maye Played Sharp. He’s Top FIVE in Most Relevant Quarterback Metrics. Maye Has Played Well All Over The Field, Including Deep, 1.27 EPA Per Attempt, 59.4% Success Rate. The Buccaneers Offense Comes In Flying Low, Struggling in Their Past Two Outings, 463 Total Yards Of Offense in Two Games, Negative EPA Per Play, and Sub 35% Success Rate. For Reference, the Bucs generated 426 Yards Of Offense Against The Seahawks in one Game, but the Lions Rocked Them on Monday Football, Then Followed That Up With a Fortunate Game Of multiple turnovers by A Broken Spencer Rattler To Beat The Saints. The Patriots' Defense Gave Up Three Touchdowns To Drake London and Michael Penix Jr. while Shutting down The Falcons' Run Game. The Patriots have forced negative rushing Expected Points Added (EPA) in all but one of their games, and negative passing EPA in all but one of their last four games (the Falcons recorded +0.10 EPA per pass). The Defense generated such success despite allowing a completion rate of 70% or better in five out of nine games this season. The Patriots' Defense Excels At Stopping The Run, Forcing Short Passes. 147 (51%) of attempted passes faced fell between 0-9 yard range, Limiting Explosive Gains. Baker Mayfield excels at All Ranges Of The Football Field, But His Deep Pass Proficiency is 26.6% of total yardage, and 8 Of His 13 come from His Deep Ball Production. The Bucs, When Healthy, Have The Weapons To Threaten The Patriots' Secondary, But Health Remains A Question After Their Bye Week In Week 9. The Bucs Decided To Stay Pat Before The Trade Deadline. We’ll See If That Serves As The Right Call. These Team Matchups Are Pretty Evenly Matched; If Either Team Could Get Any Action From Their Run Game, It Could Tip The Balance In Their Favor.

Jaguars Vs Texans

The Jags Temporarily Suspended The Death Of Their Season By Holding Off The Raiders ' Point Conversion Attempt In Overtime. The Win Help Safely Propel The Jags Ahead Of Many AFC Hopefuls wildcard picture. The Bengals Got Another Favor From The Raiders, Acquiring Wide Receiver Jakobi Meyers To Help Boost This Wayward Jags' passing Offense, 24th in EPA Per Dropback. Trevor Lawrence 22/33(66%) 222 Passing Yards, One Interception, 73% Another Below Sufficient Outing. Fortunately, the Jags Packed A Run For The Trip To Vegas, 153 Yards On The Ground, 3.7 yards A Carry. Miraculously, they managed Anything Generating 0.1 Yards Before Contact. The Jaguars' Offense Passes The Ball 63% Of Their Play, One Of The Highest Marks Facing A Texans Defense Built To Shut Down The Pass. Texans Rank Number One In Completion Percentage allowed, Passer Rating, Points Per Drive, and Number One Scoring Defense. Texans’ Quarterback CJ Stroud Suffered A Concussion In Week 9’s Loss To The Broncos, and His Status Remains Up In The Air As He’s Still In “Protocol” As Of Wednesday Morning. Jacksonville's Defense Got Wreck By Matthew Stafford In Week 7 For Five Passing Touchdowns, Bad But Excusable. The Defense Responded By Surrendering Geno Smith, His Best Game Of The Season, 29/38 For 282 Passing Yards, One Pick, Four Touchdowns, and a 120.7 Passer Rating. A Defense That Once Ranked Top Five In EPA Per Play allowed a +0.152 EPA Per Play To One Of The Worst Defenses In The League, THE Raiders. The Texans Look Too Far Gone Down The Hole To Revive This Season, But The Jags On Paper Rank Below The Texans In Quality. Houston Can Nab This Victory And Boost The Team Morale Going Forward, even without CJ Stroud in The Lineup.

Cardinals Vs Seahawks

The Quarterback Redemption-Revival Narrative Has Become One Of The More Interesting Plot Points Over The Past Couple Of Seasons. From Geno Smith, Baker Mayfield, Sam Darnold, and Daniel Jones, with Niners Mac Jones Looking Next In Line, All The Way Back To Jim Pluckett In The '80s, Quarterbacks are Earning A Second Life On Their Second, Third, Sometimes Fourth Run at The League’s Most Important Position. A UFO Kind Of Revival Has Started To Take Form In Arizona, As Jacoby Brissett Will Officially Take Over The Starting Quarterbacking Duties In Arizona For Kyler Murray, Still Dealing With A Foot Injury, and Brissett Performing Functionally In The Cards Offense. Head Coach Jonathan Gannon Walked Back On Not Naming Brissett The Full Time Starter After The Birds Upset Dallas On Monday Night. A Former fourth-round pick, Brissett Has Put Together A Solid Campaign In Three Starts: 65.2% Completion Percentage, 860 passing yards, 6 touchdowns, 1 interception, 0.116, and a 46.4% success rate. Both his EPA and Success Rates Rank Higher Than Murray’s, and He’s 102 Passing Yards Short of Murray In Two Less Starts. Brissett Looks Especially Positive For The Team. Consider All Three Of His Start Occurred Against Competitive Opponents, With One Win Versus Dallas. The Seattle Defense He’ll Face Nothing Like The Cowboys, Ranked Fourth By ESPN FPi Efficiency Metrics, Fifth In Scoring Defense, Fourth points Per Drive Allowed, and Scoring Percentage. Seattle Has Put Together A Sturdy Unit. The Pressure Rate Always Ranked Amongst The Best In The League, But now The Pass defense Has Caught Up, Sixth In Yards Per Attempt, and fourth In Passer Rating. The Seahawks Offense Just Added Another Weapon In The Form Of Rasheed Shahid, The Prolific Deep Threat From The Saints, To Join Jaxson Smith-Njigba on The Outside In Seattle. Rashid hasn't produced to The Same Level As Last Season Because Of The Saints' Changes At Quarterback, But His Skillset suggests that last Season He Averaged 17.5 Yards Per Reception, which suggests he’ll Make A Terrifying Combo With Sam Darnold, Who Generates 1.38 EPA per play and a 61.3% success rate On Deep Passes. The Cardinals' Defense Comes In Off a Strong Performance, Holding A Potent Dallas Defense To Just 17 Points. The Cardinals Held Dak to -0.32 EPA Per Play, 77.4 Passer Rating, One Touchdown, One Pick, 247 Passing Yards, and A 61.7% Completion Percentage. For The Season, the Cardinals Surrender 63% Completion Percentage, 84.8 Passer Rating, and 36.1% third-down conversion Rate, all Top Ten Defensive Figures. The Cardinals Generated 20 Pressure and Five Sacks, Two By Edge Rusher Josh Sweat. Brissett's Play Style Expands The Cardinals' playbook Because He Doesn’t use screen passes or Out Routes as Much As Kyler. Brissett has Shown Proficiency With crossing routes as Well As Digs and Corner Routes. Marvin Harrison Jr. Just Produced Maybe His Best Of The Season: 12.25 EPA, 1.75 EPA Per Play, 7/10 Of Reception For 96 Receiving Yards and One Touchdown. If Brissett Continues To play At A Starter Level, This Game Could Turn Out more Evenly Matched Than the Records Of Each Team suggest.

Vikings Vs Ravens

The Vikings Capture Their Best Win Of The Season With JJ McCarthy Back With The Team After An Ankle Injury Suspended His First Season As a Starter. He Takes Over For Carson Wentz, Who Took Over for McCarthy after Wentz Suffered A Shoulder Injury. McCarthy Both Flashed And Underwhelmed passing For Two Touchdowns, -0.06 EPA Per Play, 174 Passing Yards, and A 87.7 Passer Rating, One Pick. Not great Numbers, But The Lions Played A lot of man-to-man, which opened The Door For The Vikings' Outside Talent To Take ADVANTAGE from Down To down. Jordan Addison averaged 24 Yards Per Reception, Justin Jefferson caught a Touchdown, So Did T.J. Hockenson. Running Back Aaron Jones is Leading The Team in Receiving And Rushing Against Detroit, and The Vikings' Skill Players Make Them Dangerous to Any Team That Looks at The Record And The Quarterback Play. The Defense Bounced Back Against The Lions, Forcing Their First Negative EPA Per Play Game In Four Weeks. Brian Flores’s Defense Started The Season Forcing Three Straight Games Of Negative EPA Per Play and Ranking Number One Defense Over That Stretch. The Vikings Followed Up By Giving Up Positive EPA Per Plays. Three Of Their Next Four matchups with The Defense Facing More Work Covering For the Lagging Offense Before Recovery Against The Lions. The Vikes Will Face Lamar Jackson Back from his Hamstring Injury, and didn’t Miss A Beat Against The Dolphins, Four Touchdowns, 18/23, 204 Passing Yards, and A 143.2 Passer Rating. The Vikings Defense Susceptible Against The Pass, 68% Completion Percentage, 11.3 YARDS per Completion, and A 104.3 Passer Rating, and Since Week Five The Vikings Have Dropped Down To 24th In EPA per Play and 29th In EPA Per Drop-back. Famously, Lamar Jackson Has Reigned As A Quarterback Most Defenses Hoped To Avoid Blitzing, generating a +0.436 EPA Per Play and A 60.4% Success Rate When Defenses Send Extra Defenders This Season. Lamar Has Historically Crushed The Blitz. Maybe the Vikings Get Lucky and Lamar Comes In Off His Game. The Vikings may want To Curb Some Of Their Tendencies When Facing Jackson. The Ravens Defense Comes In 25th In EPA Per Play Allowed, 28th In Dropback Success Rate For The Season, But They Jumped Up To tenth In EPA Per Play (-0.082) and (-0.014) EPA Per Drop Back Since Week Seven. This Game Has A lot Of Value For Both Teams. The Ravens have To Make Up Ground In the NFC North, and the Steelers Have Left The Door Ajar Just Enough For Baltimore To See A Way Through, Even If It’s a long way. The NFC North Has No Team With a Losing Record as Of Week 9 Outcomes, But Right Now, The Vikings Sit At The Bottom, Hoping To Find Room To Overtake The Bears Down the Stretch.

Falcons Vs Colts

The Colts Suffered An Injurious Performance By Their Quarterback In Week nine, which dealt a Shocking Blow To Their Air Of Superiority—Even More Shocking Than The Superiority They Displayed with Daniel Jones As Their Quarterback. Ceasing The Moment, Daniel Jones is Still Respectably cheap, defense and Offensive Line Modestly Cheap. The Colts make A Big Move, trading two first-round picks for Jets All-Pro Corner Sauce Gardner. Underneath The Guise Of Their 7-2 Record, the Colts Needed Pass Defensive Help. Entering Week 10, Seventh In Passing Yards Allowed (229.4 Per Game) and Some Of That Gets Skewed By The Fact That The Colts Usually Have The Lead Late In Games, Forcing Opponents To Attempt More Passes. The Colts Lead The League In Passing Attempts Faced, and generally, the Indy plays The Pass well, 87.4 Passer Rating, 6.8 attempts against “Weaker” competition. Against The More Polished Passers, The Defense Surrendered 300 Passing Yards Or Better TO Justin Herbert, Matthew Stafford, and Jacoby Brissett. In The Playoffs, The Colts Will Face Many Of The AFC’s Elite Passers, so The Back End Of The Defense Needs To “Sure-up”. The First Test For The New Look Colts and Sauce Gardner, The Falcons Looking To Save Their season As Drake London Comes Into Week 10 Off Of A Brilliant Game Versus New England, Three touchdowns, +0.815 epa per target, 3.03 yars per route run, 64.3% Success rate. Michael Penix Doesn’t Exactly Exemplify The Level Of Prolific Passer The Colts Expect To See Come the Playoffs, But He’s Capable and Dangerous When Dialed In On his Targets.