NFL Week Six Previews.

NFL WEEK Six previews

Week Six Approaches, And The Separation Between The Best And The Rest Will Start To Really crystallize after at least Five Games For Each Team. The Colts Look Like The best Team In The AFC, second-best in football, and Indy Missed An Opportunity To Prove That By Dropping The Ball Against The Rams two weeks ago Before Demolishing The Raiders in Week Five. They’ll Get Another Distressed team in the Cardinals and Another Opportunity To Showcase their place as A football Superpower. Elsewhere in the AFC, the Chiefs still hold onto a spot as a top ten team according to many metrics and football outlets, and they are ranked number one according to ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI). However, at 2-3 record, now facing the best team in football, the Detroit Lions, A loss Could Leave Kansas City Without A Place among the best teams and hanging in the balance In The Playoff Picture. The Chiefs Still Have A Shot At the AFC West Regardless, As The Chargers Have Dropped To 3-2 After a 3-0 Start and Justin Herbert’s Case For MVP Went in Shredder After He Threw An Interception With The Chargers Up 10-0 On The Commanders Before Dropping That Game. In the first three weeks Of The Season, Justin Herbert ranked 12th in EPA per play. Over the past two weeks, he has dropped to 33rd in EPA per play. Without Much Of A Run Game Due To Injury, and With His PLAy Declining The More The Team Leans On him( 3 of his 4 interceptions Coming On Third Downs This Season) can Herbert Swing His Play To Save The Chargers' Season? The Chargers face the Dolphins, an A Team coming off an embarrassing loss to the Panthers. The Los Angeles Chargers cannot afford any setbacks in this game; they need to get back on track. A loss would push them further down the AFC standings. The Rams Suffered A Turbulent Five Days Between Weeks 4 and 5. Los Angeles capitalized on A Couple Of Colts Miscues To Knock Off The Undefeated Team, Only To Suffer Miscues Of Their Own A Few Nights Later In A Loss To Division Foe San Francisco in Overtime. They have a Scintillating opportunity to effectively end The Season Of The Moribund 1-4 Ravens, the preseason Super Bowl Favorite. The Rams have The Tendency To Play Down To Their Opponent, and Even Facing The worst defense In The League, LA Remains In Danger Of A letdown.

I Preview About 5-7 Games Weekly, “In Depth” Sort Of, Anymore, And I’ll Probably End In Arkham Asylum.

Jaguars Vs Seahawks

Trevor Lawrence Has Arrived, And Yes, I Think This Season Stands As The Best We Get. His Performance Against The Chiefs Typifies His Career. Lawrence Has So many baby Deer Moments Where He Looks Like A Guy who hasn't Played Football since High school, not a NATIONAL Champion, But He’s Just Good Enough to function above average. Lawrence Fumbles At The Goal Line On A QB sneak and later Stumbles At The Goal Line On the game-winning play To Overcome The Chiefs. The Days Of being From The “Chosen One” Status For Lawrence have faded. He’s Not Rivaling Patrick Mahomes or Josh Allen for MVP And Passing Titles Like Most Of Us Thought When He donned Clemson’s Orange and White. Instead, He’s Traveling 23 Yards To Score A Yard Touchdown. Lawrence went 18/25(72%), 12.3 Yards Per Completion, 95.6 Passer Rating, 221 passing yards, one touchdown, and one interception. As Good as It Gets For Lawrence At This Point. He’ll Play A Seahawks Defense and Secondary That Got Shredded by Baker Mayfield. So far, Seattle's Passing Defense Has Given 70% Completion Percentage To Passers(Bad) at an 88 Passer Rating(Good), and Those Numbers Conflict Because The Seahawks Deflect A lot Of Passes, 26 In Total, the eighth-best figure In Football, But They Get Beat Deep Frequently, 16 passing plays of 20 Plus Yards Or Better. When The Seahawks Gave Up Pass Plays, They Gave Up Ones That Hit Big. The Seahawks Play The Run Third Best In The League By EPA Allowed, Fifth Best In Success Rate, Which Could Force The Jags To Lean On Trevor Lawrence’s Arm More Than Regularly Recommended. Lawrence Led The Jags In Rushing 54 yards on 10 carries, Two Touchdowns, and A Fumble.

The Buccaneers Produced Ten Explosive Pass Plays On 34 Dropbacks. Lawrence Has A Strong Arm, But He’s Terribly Inconsistent On Deep Balls. He Remains Un-pressure-Able Behind His Offensive Line. Will He Settle Into A Big Game Against Seattle's Miss Defense? On Defense, the Jags Quarterback Should Take Caution When Passing In The Direction Of the Jags' Linebacker Devin Lloyd. The Jags didn’t Pick Up The Fifth Year On Their Former Round Pick, and Lloyd Continues To produce Like A Top Ten Player at The Position. Lloyd 99 Pick Six Create A -12.7 EPA swing In The Game That Ultimately Proved The Difference In The Contest. The Jags Defense Has Played Solid All Season, But Gave A 62% Success Rate To Patrick Mahomes, But Still Rank Top Six In EPA Per Play Allowed, 38 Total Passes Deflected The Best Figure In The League, and Second In The League In Interception Rate. Sam Darnold got Picked Off By Tampa Linebacker Lavonte David, But Overall Darnold Played Ecstatic, with a 73% Success Rate, completing 82.4 percent of his passes against Tampa Bay and an 82.3% Target Pass Rate For The Season. If Darnold Stays On His Heater and Avoids Mistakes.

Browns Vs Steelers

No Kevin Stefanski Slander Will Run On MindfullMadness.com. He’s Coached The Browns into a better Position With Less Before The Defense Ranks Top Five and leads the League In Both Pass Rush Win Rate and Run Stop Win Rate, and A lot Of That Respect and acknowledgment belongs to DC Jim Schwartz. They have obviously lost four games, but they haven't been torn apart by anyone outside of the Ravens, who pulled away in the second half. On Offense, The Run Game With Rookie Quinshon Judkins 4.8 Yards Per Carry On A Breakout 111 Yard Game. The Ohio State Product Has Already Climbed To the Top Five In Total EPA and Ninth In Yards After Contact. The Browns’ Offensive Line Only Gave Rushers 0.8 Yards Before Contact Against The Vikings, and The Line Continues To Rank Amongst The Worst In The League In Blocking. According to ESPN, Judkins averages 4.5 yards per carry on runs with eight or more defenders in the box. In three full-time games, he’s the largest bright spot on an underwhelming offense. Of course, The Quarterback Situation Continues to Dominate The Discussion. Stefanski Held on to Joe Flacco Three Games Too Long To Start The Season, But He Probably Felt Tentative About Leaving The fate of This Crucial Season In The Hands Of Two Rookie quarterbacks, Dilon Gabriel and Shedeur Sanders. Flacco Took His -57.24 EPA Total Through Five with Him To Cincy in His Stead Dilon Gabriel Looked Better Than But How Much Better -0.12 EpA Per Dropback Despite Two Touchdowns and Not Turning The Ball Over with Nearly 60% Of His Yardage coming After The Catch. the Steelers Have Taken The Clear Lead In The AfC North At 3-1 Coming Off A Bye Week and Need This Win To Firmly Create More Depth Between Them and The Rest Of Division. The Browns Remain A Tough Outing For Any Team. Aaron Rodgers Play As A Passer, Tails Steeply When Pressured.

Patriots Vs Saints

The Saints, Kellen Moore, Spencer Rattler, And Seemingly Everybody Not Around For The Derek Carr Era Of The Saints Got The First Win Of The Season Or Their Career. A lot of Good Vibes Have Taken Over The Big Easy Right Now. Spencer Rattler Undercovered The Best Game Of His Career, +0.23 EPa Per Drop Back, 85.7% Adjusted Completion Percentage. Speaking Of Good Vibes, the Patriots upset the Best Team In The Sport, the Bills, on Sunday Night In Prime Time. The Bills Played Sloppy, Drake Maye Played Just Good Enough -0.05 EPA Per Play, 73% To Help New England Get Over The Hurdle Of the Bills and move over 500 for the first Time In Some Time. Maye Ate Four Sacks On Just Eleven Pressures, But Overall He Ranks Amongst The Best Passer Fifth In Total EPA, 8th In EPA Per Play, and Number Two In Completion Percentage. He’s The Team’s Most Effective Rusher, 0.209 EPA Per Rush. The Running backs Have Actually Hurt The Offense.

-16.27 Total Rush EPA This Season From Patriots’ Running backs and Running The Ball Late To Close Out Game Proven Ineffective As Josh McDaniels Offense Boost A -0.431 EPA Per Rush In The Second Half Of Games. The Patriots' Offensive line has ranked Pretty Average In Terms Of Protecting Maye, 20th In Pass Block Win Rate. If the Patriots Want To Validate Themselves As A Team Ready To Return to the Playoff Conversation, they won't suffer A letdown. Against the Pats, they Have To Dominate New Orleans. The Saints Struggled To Run the Ball This Season, and The Patriots, Who Rank Third In Run Stop Win Rate, Won’t Open The Door. Spencer Rattler Could Ultimately Pass New Orleans In and Out Of The Good Times.

Packers Vs. Bengals

Coming Off Their Bye Week, The Packers Have Some Regrouping To Perform. The Luster Of The Packs’s Week One Statement Win Against The Lions Has Worn Off, The Defense has Drop From top Five 17th According to ESPN FPI Efficiency Metrics and The Pack Havent Won A Game Since week Three Coming Off a Tie To The Cowboys, Which Felt Like A Loss Because Green Bay Forced The Tie Late Despite Entering The Game Favored Over The Dallas. Packers Quarterback Jordan Love Had His Best Game Of The Season In his Last Outing, 31/43 for 306 Passing Yards, three touchdowns against A Dallas Defense That Also gave up Best Games To Justin Fields, Caleb Williams, and Russell Wilson. The Packers' matchup against the struggling Bengals after a bye week seems unfair. The Bengals will introduce the New Starter, the Old Man Joe Flacco, Fresh Off The bench in Cleveland. Jake Browning Just Put Together Possibly His Best Game Of The Season: 26/40 for 251 yards, 3 TDs, with 3 INTs In The First Half. Browning went 8/10, 133 passing yards, Three Touchdowns, +12.02 Passing EPA, +13.61 Total EPA, and +1.237 EPA Per Play, all In The Final Frames Of The Game. He looks near a Turnaround, and He’s played worse than Flacco This Season. Of Course, Flacco hasn’t Thrown To Jamar Chase and Tee Higgins This Season. Jamar Chase Numbers Will Dip Because Of Erratic Quarterback Play, But He’s Still Strong On Third Down 0.35 EPA Per Target On Such Downs, 0.97 EPA per target On Fourth Down, and 1.33 EPA Per Target In The Red Zone. The Packers Sack Dak Prescott Once In Week Four, One On 41 Drop Back, 15 Pressures Total. Like Nearly Every Quarterback, Flacco plays Better When Kept Clean, But His Play Steeply Declines Under Pressure as His Completion Percentage Falls From 74.5% to 33.9% When Pressure and He’s Thrown ALL five Of His picks under Pressure.

Jets vs. Broncos

The Jets Remains The Only Winless Team In Football, Which Awkwardly Put Them In A Better Position Than Other Team On The Wrong Side Of Playoff Contention. Winlessness gives The Jets A Clear Direction: The Bottom. According to ESPN, the last time the Jets started 0-5, they finished the year 2–14 in 2020.One Of Those Two games at The End Of The Season That Needlessly Lost The Jets the Trevor Lawrence Sweepstakes, which, With The Value hindsight, wouldn’t Have Changed Much Between Lawrence and Zach Wilson, Since Neither has lived Up To The hype. The Jets have played perplexingly poorly, allowing 31.4 points per game. They rank 30th against the pass in terms of EPA, surrendering a passer rating of 114.3 and 11.8 yards per completion. The Jets' Defense Has The Talent. Under Former Robert Saleh, The Narrative Persisted That The Offense Held The Team Back. Under New Coach Aaron Glen, The Offense Won’t Faze Fans To Tears(21st In EPA per Play), But The Jets Have Fallen Behind In Every Game Outside Of Week One This Season. The Broncos Just Clipped The Wing Off The Undefeated Eagles As Bo Nix And The Offense Scored 18 Unanswered Points To Close The Game. Nix’s playmaking remains “erratic.” When he’s Hot, Defenses Beware, But Those Hot Flashes Come and go. If the Jets Play Against The More “Reckless” Bo Nix, Maybe The Defense Can Get A takeaway if the Jets Keep This Game Within Striking Distance. Jets Quarterback Justin Fields Has Played Well Enough To Win, ranking eighth in Success Rate, 16th in Total EPA, and 18th in EPA Per Play With Zero Interceptions and completing 67% Of His Passes. A lot Of Work Has Come With The Games Already Decided. 3 of His Four Passing Touchdowns Have Come in the Fourth, with the Jets already losing, and All Three Of His Rushing Touchdowns Have Also Come In The Second Half. The Jets' offense needs to Get Started Early Or Fall Apart.

49ers Vs Bucs

The Bucs and Niners Enter Week Five Coming Off scintillating Wins For Both teams. The Two Thrill Ride Collide On Sunday As The Two Injury-Riddled Teams 4-1 Face Off. The Bucs Lost their Leading Receiver, Mike Evans, Three Weeks Ago and Haven’t Gotten Chris Godwin Engaged In The Offense. It hasn’t Needed Either, as Rookie 19th Overall Pick EmeKa Egbuka has taken The League by Storm. In Five Games, the rookie pass catcher collected 25 receptions, 17 Of Which Converted For First Downs, nine catches of 20-plus yards, for 445, All Top Ten Numbers. He’s Sixth In Total EPA with Just 23% Target Share. His Quarterback, Baker Mayfield, has a Serious MVP Conversation Coming Off His Best Performance Of The Season: 29/33 passes, 379 yards, two touchdowns. He’s Eighth In QBr This Season, 6th In Total EpA. While A Number Of Quarterbacks Stand Ahead Of Him, The Best Work Of Mayfield Comes In The Fourth Quarter, With a 110.8 Passer Rating In the Final Quarter Of Games. The Bucs Have Four Wins All On The Final Frames Of Regulation, Regulation All Off The Hands Of The Unflappable Mayfield. The Run Game Has Gotten Off To A Slow Start -0.05 EPA per Rush, 2.9 Yards Against The Seahawks, Forcing The Bucs To Furnish The 6th Highest Pass Rate Over Expected For Week Five. Baker Mayfield Got Sacked Once Against Seattle, and the Niner sacked Matthew Stafford Just Once On 16 Pressures. The Niners' Pass Rush Options Rank 27th in Pass Rush Win Rate, according to ESPN. Edge Rusher Bryce Huff ranked 13th on PFF’s Top 32 Edge Rushers in Football, With A Win Rate of 22.1% and 17 Pressures. The Niners Enter Week Six On Ten days' Rest, Hot Off their Harrowing Victory Over the Rams on Thursday Night. The Rams Committed Major Damage To Themselves, Whether Through Bad Play Calling or turnovers. The Niners Nearly Couldn’t Avoid Winning That Game Despite Playing With Most Of The Surface Level Of Their Roster Injured. No Official Word, But Many Of The Niners Starters, Brock Purdy, Juan Jennings, Ricky Pearsall, Remain Questionable Until Sunday. Mac Jones Filled In Quite Well For Purdy, 33/49 for 341 Against The Rams, Putting Him Back In The Conversation As a possible Starter Candidate Next Season. What Will Jones Have As A follow-up with More On The Niners’ drop-back game, Slated To Generate The Bulk Of The Offense? The Niners’ run Game has gotten to A Slow Start. Christian McCaffrey 56.4 rushing yards per game (23rd), 3.1 yards per carry(40th). With No Score. The Bucs Don’t Stand As The Team To Get Things Started With On The Ground Best In The League Against The Run In Terms Of EPa Per Play and success Rate Against The Run. The Niners Have Found Ways To Utilize McCaffrey’s Talents. No Offense, but the Niners target their running back More Than The Niners. According to ESPN, McCaffrey Accounts For 47.6% Of The Niners' Touches, 130 Total, 39 Receptions,9.9 Per Catch, 52 Targets, and Three Touchdowns. McCaffrey generates 96.6 Per Game, 5.1 Yards Per Touch. The Niners got a Big Game From Kendrick Bourne, the Fifth Receiver On The Depth Chart With A Fully Healthy Roster, On The Outside Against The Rams, 142 Yards on 10 Catches: The Production tails Off Behind Bourne and McCaffrey. The Bucs rank 27th defensively in Drop Back EPA. The Niners will need someone to step up besides Bourne and McCaffrey, who will draw a lot of attention. This game is shaping up to be a nail-biter. Does Jones have enough support to maintain the NFC West lead while Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers navigate through some challenges?