NFL Week 15 Previews.
The Gulf and Divide In The NFL Teams Have Finally Started to Show Clear Distinctions and Barriers as the League’s “Parity” Breakdowns and the First Slate of Teams Eliminated from the Playoffs Become Official This Deep into Week 15. Throughout the weeks and possibly months of the football season, fans, analysts, and that co-worker who pretends to know the game just to join the conversation have understood that the Browns, Raiders, Jets, Titans, and Giants would not make the playoffs. However, the math and probability have finally come together to support this narrative. The Raiders Now Hold 43% Odds To Secure The Top pick, And After The organization drafted A running back, Top Six—No Offense Ashton Jeanty— I Hope The League Intervenes For The Raiders To Prevent Another roster-building atrocity.
Rams Vs Lion
Jared Goff and the Rams Get Another Shot At Proving They Belong in the NFC Championship Caliber Conversation And Not Just a Team To Mention Based On The Brand They Built Over The past two seasons. In The Vein Of College Football Playoffs, Where The Selection Committee Weighs Strength Of Schedule and Quality Of Opponent Against Teams, The Lions Have Just Two Quality Wins This Season, Beating The Bears Early In September and Downing The Bucs In Messy Mid-Season Showdown. Some Make An Argument Against neither of those Two Teams representing high-quality Opponents, But Those Two Still Have Poll Position In The Playoffs And Winning Records. The Lions Picked Up Another Quality Win Over Dallas In Week 14, But The Cowboys Currently Don’t Have A Spot In the Playoffs and A Real Juggernaut In The Number One Team, In the Los Angeles Rams, Head Detroit's Way. Detroit Scored 44 Points, and The Defense Pick Off Dak Prescott Twice and Applied Pressure To The Pocket, But Dak Had His Way With The Detroit Secondary Otherwise. Prescott averaged an EPA of +0.220 EPA Per Drop back, Compared To -0.042 With Turnovers Included as Lions Starting Corners Amik Robertson and DJ, both gave 113 and 130 Yards Respectively, 72% and 75% Completion Percentage, and Robertson Getting Pegged With A 135.8 Passer Rating generated When Targeted. Matthew Stafford Boost Averages of +0.431 EPA per dropback and a 57.4% success rate when targeting Corners. Matthew Stafford Regained His Grip On The MVP Race After Stumbling A Bit Against The Panthers, 22/31 282 Passing Yards on 31 Dropbacks, 131.4 Passer Rating, 71.0% Completion Percentage, 71.3% Air Yards, +0.56 EPA Per Pass Play. The Rams Offense generated 518 Yards, +0.441 EPA Per Play, 7.7 Yards Per Play, albeit against A Cardinals Team With Nothing To Play For At This Juncture Of The Season. Stafford Slang The Ball Down field As Wide Receiver, Puka Nacua Looked Uncover-able On His Way To 167 Receiving, 7 Receptions, 23.9 Yards Per Reception, and Two Touchdowns. The Lions' Defense won't have Safety Brian Branch For The Rest Of The Year, And They’ll Need Someone To Shade Over The Side Of Nacua practically the entire Game. The Rams generated 32 Pressure on 50 Dropback Against Jacoby Brissett. However, the Rams' Passing Defense Has Gotten Cooked In Recent Weeks, Starting With Jacoby Brissett, Who Found Success When he was Kept Clean, and His Offensive line and play calling Allowed Him To survey the downfield, and Bryce Young produced a Similar result in Carolina’s Week 13 Upset Of The NFC Super Bowl Favorite. Cardinals receiver Michael Wilson Played One Of His Best Games of The Season. Goff Has Played More streakily this year. He’s produced a Few MVP-like performances, But Also Threw In Some Duds Along The Way. Stats Like His on-target throw percentage, Completion percentage, and EPA Per Play Remain the Top 10 things. Average Depth Of Target, intended Air Yards Per Attempt have Fallen Behind As He’s Become A More Yards After catch Dominated Passer. When the Lions Offensive Line Keeps Goff Clean, Goff averages 10.87 Adjusted Net Yards Per Attempt, the Best Mark at Quarterback. The Rams' Defense Ranks Second In Run-Stop Win Rate. This Matchup Could Turn Out As One Goff Has To Take Over to Deliver The Win. The Lions' Pass Rush May Also Need To Contribute. Currently ranked 28th in Pass Rush Win Rate, Seventh In Pressure Rate, 33.40%. Against the Cardinals, Matthew Stafford Got The Ball Out Of His Hands Lightning Quick, 2.38 Seconds to throw, as His Process alone Can Nullify Pressure. These two teams have ties That Bind. A Number Of The Lions' Foundational Pieces Of The Past Three To Four Season Came Via The Rams, Who Traded For Matthew Stafford. The Trade Worked Out For Both Teams. The Rams Made A Splash Move for a Quarterback who Won Them The Super Bowl As The Owner Established The Team In Los Angeles. The Lions got Jahmyr Gibbs, Running Back, Drafted To Detroit With One OF The Rams’ picks, And He’s Emerged As A Transcendent Offensive Talent and Possibly The Best Back In The League.
Colts Vs Seahawks
As the old Adage Goes, “Life Is 10% What Happens To You and 90% How You Respond” as The Colts Celebrated Season Falls To Ground Like A Fixtures Of an Old Regime How Will They Respond Facing The Possibility Of Missing The Playoffs After Starting The Season 7-1 Ans Flexing a 20 plus Point Margin Of Victory At One Point This Season. With Daniel Jones Done For The Year With An Achilles Injury and the Colts ' Round Pick Headed To The Jets, extending Jones long-term is an interesting Dilemma For Indy. Had Jones Suffered The Injury During The team's 7-1 Start When He Existed as One Of The Hottest Quarterbacks In Football, locking Jones up with A Sam Darnold-like deal Would Function As a steal for Indy, Sort Of How The Deal Works For Seattle now. Instead, Jones fell To The Ground During A Down Turn Of His Play This Season. Daniel Jones. For As Great As He Played To Start This Season, He Remains Famous For his Outs On Multiple Occasions. The Colts Face The Seahawks, A Projected potential Super Bowl Preview a Month Ago. The Colts sign 44 Year un-retired Quarterback Phillip Rivers To Fill A Desperate Void In The Quarterback Spot, With Rookie Quarterback Riley Leonard Also Suffering An Injury. Who Plays Quarterback for The Colts Will Have To Face The Number One Defense In Football, The Seattle Seahawks. Seattle Ranks Number Two In EPA Per Play Allowed, Number Three In EPA per dropback, and Number One In EPA Per Rush. If the Colts didn’t Want To match up with any Other Team Outside Of The Texans, the Seahawks ranked as The Next Team To Fear. The Seahawks Also Rank Number one In Pressure Rate, 37.99% and fourth in Interception Rate This Season. After A Slow Start against The Falcons and A Bad Game against The Vikings, The Week Before Sam Darnold Regrouped To Finish With A 111.7 Passer Rating, 12.5 Yards Per Completion, and 8.3 Yards Per Attempt Against Atlanta’s Tough Pass Defense. The Colts' Defense Has Skated By All Season Thanks To The Offense's Success And Efficiency Earlier in The Season. Since Week 11, the Colts' Defense Ranks Dead Last In EPA per drop-back allowed (-0.251), 20th in EPA Per Play, and 18th In Pressure Rate. The Pass Defense Got Gashed In The 10-19 Range +0.615 EPA per drop back, a 54.2% success rate, and +0.405 EPA Per Drop back On Deep Passes. The Colts Offense Runs A One-Back System with Jonathan Taylor accounting for 1356 Yards On The Ground and 247 Carries. The Next Highest Guy, Quarterback Daniel Jones, 164 Yards On 45 Carries, No One Else On The Team Has More Than 20 Carries. Attrition May Have Set In On Taylor This Late Into The Season.
Texans Vs Cardinals
The Texans Bumped Their Playoffs All The Way Up To 87%, heading into what Looks Like an easy Game against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 15. Not Too Long ago, Most Of The Football World wondered what was Wrong with Houston. After Starting The Season .500, and While The Questions Remain Persistent About The Houston Offense, the Texans look comfortably Prepared To Secure a Playoff Spot and Fight For A Division Crown. The Texans' offense averaged -0.081 EPA Prr Play, 4.1 Yards Per Play, 19.1 Yards Per Drive Against The Chiefs. The Chiefs’ defense ranks 25th According To ESPN FPI Efficiency Metrics and 24th in EPA per Play Allowed Since Week 10. CJ Stroud has played just “average” this season as his sophomore slump, which initially appeared as a minor issue last year, has now become his career trajectory. Stroud Completed Just 48.4% Of His Passes For 203 Passing Yards Against The Chiefs and Hasn’t generated a Passer Rating Above 90 Since His Return from A Concussion. his Off Target Percentage Ranks 11th In The League and None Of Stroud’sTop targets Generate Consistent Separation, Nico Collins, Jayden Higgins, Dalton Shultz, and Xavier Hutchinson Generate Less Than 2 Yards Of Separation For The Season And Against The Chiefs Collins and Hutchinson Generated Less Than one Yard Of Separation. No Offense In Football Can Thrive On Constant Contest Catch Situations, and Stroud Lacks The Justin Herbert, Josh Allen Like Arms That Can Pry Open A Closed Throwing Window On Similar separation: Stroud Often Under Throws His Targets Even When They Get Open. The Texans Should Handle The Cardinals Based On Arizona Operating A Dropback Centric Offense. The Cardinals Have The Highest Pass Rate Over Expected +1.60 Over The Last Three Games. The Texans ' World Secondary Will Have To Tango With Cardinals’ Receiver Michael Wilson, a 35.76% Dominator Rate Over His Past Three Games, Best in The League Over That Stretch, along with 481 Receiving Yards, +0.169 EPA Per Target, 57.1% Success Rate, 12.3 Yards Per Reception, and 69.6% Catch Rate Since Week 11. Wilson Becomes Extension eligible After This Season, and he’s Emerged As The Cardinals if He Can Impact the Game Against The Texans In Terms Of Receiving. He’ll Make An Interesting Name in Terms Of Dollar Figures Come The Offseason. Jacoby Brissett won’t Slow Down on The Dropbacks. He’s up to 21st in total Passing Attempts (346) In Only Eight Starts. He Registered His Fifth Straight Game with At Least 40 Passing Attempts. Brissett’s Performance along The Final Stretch Of The Season Will Keep His Name Mentioned Amongst The Top Back-Ups Available On The Market In The Off Season.
Eagles Vs Raiders
Jalen Hurts can’t Shake His Place As One Of The Most Scrutinized quarterbacks in The Sport, And His Recent Turnover Binge, including Five In The Eagles' Recent Loss To The Chargers, hasn’t Helped His case as the Eagles Slip Into A three-game losing streak and possibly the worst offensive Stretch Of The Sirianni-Hurts era. Hurts’s somewhat limited Route Palette Unfortunately Limits The heights The Offense Can Reach Despite A Talented Set Of Receivers. Go Routes, Slants, and Hitch Route, and Flat can Only Take A Passing Attack So Far As Defenses Adjust To Just Sitting Ten Yards from the Field And Wait For A Receiver To Break. Several Hurts Picks Came As His Receivers Broke Inside On Their Routes 10 Yards Or Better Downfield, and The Chargers Zone Just Sat And Waited For Hurts To Commit To a Receiver and Sniffed The Pass Attempt. Los Angeles Took Away Most Of Hurts' Favorite Route as Hitches Yielded -0.386 EPA Per Target, and go Routes -1.008 EPA Per Target. Hurts Finished With 240 Passing Yards, 21/40, zero Touchdowns, four picks, -0.396 EPA per drop-back, and Had The Eagles won, The Media Would Gloss Over These Massive Offensive Inefficiencies. The Eagles Face The Raiders In Week 15, The Number One Team Slated To Pick Number One In April’s Draft. The Eagles Need To Not Only Beat the Raiders And The 15th-ranked defense by ESPN’s fPI Metric, But Make This A Contest Bout As Philly re-establishes Themselves Amongst The League’s Contenders.
Vikings Vs Cowboys
With An Entire Minnesota Fanbase Mulling The worst offensive Performance Of Any Team In The NFL This Season, JJ McCarthy, One Of The worst statistical quarterbacks to Ever Attempt A Pass In The NFL, Responded With His Best Performance Of His Career, Helping The Vikings Down The Commanders in Week 14 with three touchdowns and a career-high 129.2 passer rating. Not Even The Most Optimistic Vikings Fan Had This Type Of Performance From McCarthy On Their Bingo Card, But If Nine Wants To Avoid Getting Subtracted From The Vikings 2026 Roster and Beyond, He’ll Need To Increase The Number Of Level Performances The Rest Of The Way. McCarthy Gets A Prime Opportunity In Prime Time, Facing A Dallas Defense, An Improved Unit, But One That Got Gashed By Jared Goff And The Lions. The Cowboys' Linebacker In Particular Showed Particular Vulnerability On Intermediate Routes as Goff Finished +0.756 EPA per dropback and A success rate (66.7%) on passes In The Intermediate Zones 10-19 Yards On Goff’s Way To Finishing With A 73.5% Completion Percentage, 77.1% Success Rate, and A +0.524 EPA Per Drop-back Against The Cowboys. JJ McCarthy struggles Have Typified The Vikings Offense This Season, but he Delivers In The Intermediate Area +0.097 per drop-back, 54.3% Success Rate, the Only Area Of The Field He’s Shown Apt Ability. I wouldn’t dare Predict A JJ McCarthy breakout game, But If Any Defense presents itself as A Target for A Big Performance, Big D Has That Defense. The Cowboys' Offense Will Face a Minnesota Defense Coming In Off Strong Performances This Past Few Weeks. The Viking Defense Hasn’t Given Up 100 Yards To A Team In The Past Two Games, and Over 200 yards passing and A Passer Rating Over 90 In The Past Five Games. Minnesota faced San Darnold, Lamar Jackson, Caleb Williams, and Jordan Love Over That stretch Before Downing Marcus Mariota. Dak Prescott Threw Two interceptions against Detroit, which helped swing The Game In Detroit's Favor, but otherwise, he Really Carved Detroit's Secondary Up Like Some Tenderized Turkey. Detroit Mainly Plays Man Coverage. Dak Against Man Coverage 8.85 Average Net Yards Per Attempt 8th In The League Against Zone 6.42 27th In The League. Over The Past Three Weeks, the Vikings' Defense Also Ranks in the Top Three In Havoc Rate(the percentage of defensive plays where the defense records a tackle for loss, forces a fumble, deflects a pass, or makes an interception). The Vikings Have Returned To Their Place As A Top Ten Defense According To ESPN FPI Efficiencies. Cowboys Top Wide Receiver Ceedee Lamb Suffered A Concussion And Left The Cowboys' Loss To Detroit In The Third Quarter, And His Status Remains Unclear. The Eagles suffered their third straight loss on Monday, opening the door for the Cowboys to contend for the NFC East crown. The Cowboys Won’t Have an Easy Time Dispatching The Vikings, Who Have Nothing To Play For In Week 15.