NFL Week 12 Previews.
NFL Week 12 previews
A Thick Slate of Interesting Games for Week 12 of the NFL Season. Even the Falcons Versus the Saints, Two Of The worst records in Football, enter with Some Interesting Narratives to Follow Now That Reports Confirm a season-ending knee Injury For second-year quarterback Michael Penix. The Time For the Second Season Turnaround Started A Few Weeks Ago. The Cowboys Have A shot, A Slim shot, To Make A Run, But They Face The Eagles, One Of The Few Teams With Enough Elite Defensive Back Talent To Match Dallas’s Outside Receivers. The Week One Matchup Between These Two Rivals Doesn’t Feel 11 Weeks Ago, But The Season Progress Which Team Has Made The Most Strides Since Week One. The Browns and Jets(Not facing Each Other): Two Teams Nesting At The Bottom Of The League, Two Quarterback Transitions Take Precedent. Former Jets Starter Justin Fields Takes The Bench For New York, And Former Brown’s Quarterback Tyrod Taylor Takes Over To Face The Ravens. The browns’ Rookie fifth-rounder Shedeur Sanders Makes His First Career Start For The Browns, and Many Other Crucial Plot Points.
Cheifs Vs Colts
The chiefs remind us Of The Villains In The Movies, Whom The Protagonist has To Keep The Body Around, like Jeepers Creepers, To Ensure That They Stay Dead. With Seven Games Left On Their Schedule, The Chiefs Have Life Left, Even With the Division Out of Reach. The 5-5 Record and The Loss To The Broncos Damaged The Mystique. The Chiefs posted 19 Points In a slow-burning Loss To The Broncos, and Despite Some “Solid” Figures 29/45, 277 Passing Yards, one.
Touchdown, One Interception, 79.6 Passer Rating, and -0.04 EPA Per Pass Play(pff). The Chiefs Have Now Lost Two Straight Games At The Hands Of Teams In The AFC hierarchy, Following A Loss To The Bills in Week Nine. Since Week Nine, Mahomes Ranks 18th In EPA Per Play And 32nd In Success Rate Amongst Quarterbacks With At Least 30 Plays. The Colts Quarterback, Daniel Jones, Comes Into Week 12 Off His Bye Week No Less hot, 22nd in EPA per Play since Week 8, Amongst Quarterbacks With 60 Plays Down From The Number One Spot Jones Has Held All Year. All Season Long, The Chiefs' Offense Has Aimed To Cut The Game Short and Out-Execute The Other Team Down The Stretch.
Seahawks Vs Titans
For ALL the Success Sam Darnold Has Experienced This Year, Answering The Critics Who Questioned Whether One Good Season in Minnesota qualified the Former Third Overall Pick for a payday of over 100 Million Dollars, he’s Never Proven In His Short Time As A full-time starter that He could win the bigger games on his team's Schedule. He Struggled Last Year In Minnesota’s Wild Card matchup with the Rams, Even If He May Not Face The Rams In The Playoffs. Not every Team Could Strip A Quarterback Of Where He Wants To Attack, like the Los Angeles Team has a blueprint for Playing A Deep She Over The Top, subtracting attackers In The Pass Rush. The Seahawks Double Down On Their Desire to Hit Home Run Pass Plays By Adding Rasheed Shahid to Stretch The Field, But Not Opening Up The Offense With More Diversity. The Titans’ Defense Won’t Replicate The Success Of The Rams, With A Bottom Defense In EPA Per Dropback +0.169 EPA Per Play, 49.0% Success Rate, 70.6% Completion Percentage, and A High EPA Per Dropback allowed +0.952 On Deep Passes. The Titans have 26 Sacks On The season and rank in the top 10 in Pass Rush Win Rate. The Titans have Jeffrey Simmons, the Number One Interior Pass Rusher in Football, 90.9 PFF Grade, 19.5 Pass Rush Win rate in Week 11. The Seattle Interior Offensive Line Suffered A Blow With The Injury To Rookie Grey Zabel In Week 11. The Seahawks Defense Held Matthew Stafford, The MVP Front Runner, in Check, Holding Stafford To His Worst EPA Per Play In His Rams Career Run. He Faced Pressure On 46% of His drop-backs against Seattle. A Dubious Cloud Looms Heading Towards Titans Rookie Quarterback Cam Ward, and Building Off of A Decent Game Against Houston Looks Unlikely. The stats On The Number One Pick Remain Porous, EPA Per Dropback -0.209, Success Rate 39.3%, a 1:1 Touchdown Interception Rate, And A 58.4% Completion Rate All Season, But He’s Always Good For A Highlight Throw in A Game. The Seahawks Should Get an easy bounce-back win As They Prepare To Face The Rams Once More In the coming Weeks.
Carolina Panthers Vs San Francisco 49ers
The Panthers' 6-5 Start To The Season Looks More Shocking Than the Patriots' (8-2) Or The Bears' (7-3) Because The Patriots Spent In Free agency and Have A Premier coach, and the Bears Have Talent. The Panthers, Heading into Week 12, Remain An Anomaly. The Defense Emerges For Stretches to Shut Down The Falcons, And To A degree, the Packers To Just 13 Points, and suddenly, the Panthers have A Respectable Unit Out of nowhere. Then, Without Lead Back, Chubba Hubbard, For A Stretch, Former Dallas Cowboys’ cast-off, Off Running back Rico Dowdle Pops Up And ascends To New Heights With His Game, and Suddenly The Panthers Have A fearsome rushing Attack For a Stretch. This Past Sunday, After Suffering An Upset To The Saints' Former Number One Pick, Bryce Young, One Of The worst statistical Quarterbacks In Football, Put Together An All-World Performance, producing 448 Passing Yards. The Panthers pulled a lot out of their “HodgePodge” Receiving As Five guys Record 50-plus yards Receiving Game. Bryce Young Had Considerable Success Throwing Over The Middle Of The Field At All Ranges,8/10 for 130 Passing Yards, as opposed to 4/6 for 51 Passing Yards Over The Middle Against The Saints, With One 26 Yard Explosive Play. Because of Young’s Height, he can't consistently throw over The Middle, and the Panthers accommodate Young’s Height By blocking in A Way That Creates A Passing Lane Up The Middle Young To See, Sort Of Like Parting the Red Sea. The Saints Understood This Aspect Of Young’s Game, Which Opened The Door For Linebacker Demario Davis To Jump The Passing lane On A Young pass and Pick Off In Week 10. The Falcons also Knew And Played With The Middle Open Or Devoid of A Player Responsible For the Area On Many occasions, trusting Young To Stick With His Outside Passing Tendencies Of Targeting Out and Hitch Routes. The Panthers' Offensive Line had an Easier Time moving Atlanta’s Defensive Line Players Because The Falcons Run Light Along The Defensive Front, and A Key to the Carolina Offense is Sustaining A High Level of Play With Young at QB By Attacking The Middle Of The Field. PFF Graded Young 92.2 With A Passer Rating Of 153.3 on Throws On 10 Plus Yards. Unfortunately, the Niners do not rank.
Last In Pressure Rate and Sack rate, But They Also Run Light Up Front and won't have All-Pro Linebacker Fred Warner Through The Middle, diagnosing and patrolling The Middle Of The Field. Bryce Young Struggles Against Pressure, and He Becomes A Great Liability to His Team When Sacked -1.937 EPA per sack. The Niners' Brock Purdy Returned, And He Looked Like A 50 Plus Million Quarterback 19/26 For 200 Passing Yards, Three Touchdowns, and A Passer Rating of 133.5 In San Francisco’s Pasting Of The Cardinals. The Panthers Rank 11th Best In passer Rating Allowed At 90.4 and red Zone Percentage(52.9%, Still High), but Sit Right Underneath The Niners At Second To Last In Pressure Rate. The Panthers' Run Defense Has Given Up Four Straight games of 100 Or Better To Rushers, and the Passing Defense Has Given Up More Than 220 In THREE straight Games.
Tampa Bay Bucs Vs Los Angeles
After Week 11, a 44-32 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, they have now lost 3 of their last 4 games after starting the season 5-1. Faced With A Grueling Schedule That Gets No Easier With The Newly Minted Number One Team In Football Next On The Schedule, as The Bucs Travel To Los Angeles To Face The 8-2 Rams. The Rams Survived A Defensive Blood Bath With the Seahawks, Escaping Seattle With a Slim Victory And Sole Possession Of The NFC West Crown. The Rams' Defense Shut Down The Best Offense In Football By Taking Away Sam Darnold's Favorite Toys, The Deep Action, Forcing Him To Play More Contained And Controlled. The Rams now boast the number one defense in football. They are ranked 3rd in EPA per play and 7th in yards per play, despite not having many high-profile names. The defense receives consistent contributions from players on rookie-scale contracts, all while the Rams have the 29th-highest defensive cap spending in the league. The Bucs Offense They Face Has Sputtered In Weeks, coming 26th in EPA Per Play and 29th in EPA Per Dropback Since Week Seven. The Bucs Have Missed Key players For Some time now, But The Offense Still Produces A Negative EPA In The First and Fourth quarters this Season. The Script Offensive Coordinator, Josh Grizzard, Has Not Worked, and Without Key Players In The Lineup, The Scheme Has To Elevate The Talent Available. For Tampa Bay’s Offense, Defenses Don’t Fear The Run Game Even After They Posted 205 Yards On The Ground Against The Bills, who Rank 21st In Run Stop Win Rate. The Rams Rank Third In That Same area. Opponents Don’t Fear Rookie Wide Receiver Tex Johnson on Anything Outside Of A Splash Go Route, Veteran Sterling Sharpe On Anything Outside Of an In-Breaking Route, and Tight End Cade Otten On Anything Over The Top. The Top Receiver Emeka Egbuka Has Earned The Respect Of Defenses, Garnering Top Opposition Attention On Sundays. The Bucs Offense Functions As A Pass First Team, And In Obvious Passing Situations, Mayfield Has Struggled. He’s attempted 75 Passes On Third and four-plus. He’s Generating A Passer Rating Of 75.5, Far From The MVP Form fans Witnessed Earlier In the Season. The Bucs Offense Enters Week 12 15th in third-down conversion rate, Usually Putting Their Defense In bad positions. The Bucs' Defense Gave Up Six Touchdowns To Josh Allen. Fortunately, the Seahawks were able to slow down Matthew Stafford from his impressive performance. The New MVP front-runner Pace Stafford Entered Week 11 Coming Off a pedestrian 15/28 129 Passing Yards, Two Touchdowns, 89.7 Passer Rating, -0.28 EPA Per Play, and 8.6 Yards Per Completion. Seattle Pressured Stafford On 13 Of His 28 Drop-back Passes. The Bucs Don’t Specialized In Pressure, and Big Free Agent Acquisition Hasson Riddick Has Struggle To Shoulder The Weight As The Team’s Number One Pass Rush Option. Buccaneers Cornerback Jamel Dean Generates A -0.543 EPA allowed per target, and He’ll match up With One Of The Rams' Top Two Receivers, either Puka Nacua or Davante Adams. Hard To See Anyone on One Corner, Erasing Either Of Those Guys. Stafford Struggles On Third Down, and The Rams Offense Has A Middle-of-the-Road Three-and-Out Rate(19.54%). Baker Mayfield And His Former Cohort Share a lot of qualities, But Where Darnold Plays “Scared” In The Bright Lights, Baker Lights Up In The Moment Now. Can Tampa’s personnel and Play Calling Exploit The Rams' Defense That can Rush The Pass and Protect With A High Shell?
Bengals Vs Patriots
The Highs Of The Bengals' Offense With Joe Flacco At The Helm Crash-Landed In Week 11 Versus The Steelers. Cincy’s Dropback Heavy Attack( 403 dropbacks compared to 191 rush attempts through 10 games) Met A Steelers Ready To Face A Bengals Offense That Likes To Spread The Field and Get The Ball Out Of Joe Flacco’s Hand Quickly Behind A Shaky Offensive Line. Joe Flacco Registered His Worst Efficiency As A Bengal -0.423 EPA Per drop back Against The Steelers, 199 Passing Yards, 23/40 One Touchdown, One Interception, And 68.6 passer Rating. If Flacco Has Any More Magical Games Left In His Arm, Facing The 9-2 Patriots, He’ll Have To Manage With His Top Target, Jamar Chase, Suspended In Week 12 For A Spitting Incident. Flacco Has Targeted Chase 72 In Five Games With Cincy, 20.7% target share, +0.260 EPA Per Target. Next Man up, Cincy Wide Receiver 1-B Tee Higgins Will See a Higher Volume. Maybe He’s Next In Line With Just 37 Targets From Flacco +0.515 EPA Per Target, 15.5 Yards Per Reception, Seven Touchdowns, 1.52 Yards Per Route Run. Bengals Third Receiver Andrei Iosivas May See The Most Action Elevated To Second Receiver +0.267 EPA Per Target Under Flacco. Higgins Will Most Likely Draw The Assignment Of Patriots' Top Corner Christian Gonzales. Gonzales Got Exposed A Little, Facing The Jets. Adonai Mitchell, who Gonzales Multiple Times, But The All-Pro Gonzales Generates A -0.206 EPA when targeting, Forcing A 49% Completion, 5.5 Yards Per Attempt. The Patriots' pass Defense Falls Down The Middle Of The Road, 10th-worst in Passer Rating 97.3, 9th-worst in completion Percentage 67.3%, and 13th-best in EPA per play (0.023). But A Stout Run Defense places the Patriots ninth overall in EPA Per Play. The Patriots Don’t Apply Pressure. Consistent Ranking 24th In Pass Rush Win Rate. If The Patriots Pressure Can’t Disrupt Flacco, He Can Run Up Dropbacks and Heavy Passing Numbers In A Hurry. Patriots Quarterback Drake Maye and MVP Candidate Will Face A Cincy Exclusively Defense Dead Last In Football after A Few Weeks Sharing That Description With the Dallas Cowboys. The Bengals won’t Have Defensive Edge Rusher Trey Hendrickson, who's battling a Hernia, and His Absence Has Depleted a Pass Rush that entered The Season Pretty Anemic.
Images Of The Bengals' Secondary Getting Tossed Around By Steelers Tight End Darnell Washington Circulated on The Internet All Week After Week 11. The Bengals Lead The League In Missed tackles, 4th fourth-worst in Passer Rating Allowed, and Second In Passing Yards Allowed Per Game. The Patriots Drake Maye Produces Most Of His Damage Through The Air, 7.4 Air Yards Per Completion. The Tight Ends For New England don’t Bruise Like Washington, But The combination of a Running Game That’s Starting To Click A Little Bit with Treyveon Henderson in starting Could Wreak Havoc In Cincy’s Secondary. Henderson Just Forced Nine missed tackles Against The Jets in Week 11, and Since Taking Over As The Starter, Henderson Has Generated 254 Yards On The Ground Over The Past Three Weeks. The Patriots' Offense with Drake Should Easily Run Roughshod All Over The Bengals’ defense.
Jaguars Vs Cardinals
I can't decide Whether To Credit The Jaguars For Saving Their Season With Their Back against The Wall Win In Week Eleven or dismiss the Upset As a Chargers Meltdown and A Blip On The Radar. The Jaguars' Run Game Took Jacksonville Past The Chargers, and since Week eight, Liam Coen’s Ranks Fourth In EPA Per Rush. The Jags Started The Season As a Based Team. Travis Ettiene Ranked Top Five in Rushing Yards Through The First Weeks Of The Season Before Offense Got Caught Up In The Fools' Gold Of Trevor Lawrence’s Arm Talent And The Hype Brian Thomas Rode Into The Season, Coming Off his Remarkable Rookie Season. The Dropback game For The Jags Remains A Liability, 23rd in Dropback EPA, Trevor Lawrence 78.8 Passer Rating, -6 Completion Percentage Over Expected. Receiver Brian Thomas Jr. Didn’t Play In The Win Over The Chargers And Hasn’t Played In Two Weeks Because Of An Ankle Injury. The Jaguars Have Brought Trade Deadline Acquisition Jakobi Meyers Along Slowly, 8 Catches For 105 Receiving Yards. The Cardinal at 3-6 doesn’t Have Much To Play For Outside Of Incentives In The Player Contracts. The Numbers The Offense Posted In The Lopsided Defeat At The Hands Of The Niners went A Long Way. The Cardinals Averaged 37.8 Yards Per Drive, 6.7 Yards Per Play +0.033 EPA Per Play, But Only 1.8 Points Per Drive. If Arizona Could Convert Some Of That Yardage Into Points Because Jacoby Brissett Threw Two Interceptions While Completing 81.8% Of His Passes, With A 78.2% accuracy percentage. The Jags Defense Doesn’t Rank Top Ten Anymore, But Enters Week 12 Still Forcing A -0.002 EPA Per Play, but A Positive EPA Per Drop-back +0.040 EPA Per Drop-back Allowed, Not The Best Stat Feature For Any defense Facing A Pass-Heavy Team Like Arizona.